Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Damaging Winds And Heavy Rainfall
for Illawarra, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, South West Slopes, Australian Capital Territory and parts of Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast, Metropolitan, South Coast, Central West Slopes and Plains, Snowy Mountains and Northern Tablelands Forecast Districts.
Issued at 1:28 am Saturday, 31 October 2020.
A trough of low pressure is combining with an upper-level disturbance to generate unsettled conditions across eastern and southern NSW.
DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast, Metropolitan, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Snowy Mountains, Australian Capital Territory and Northern Tablelands
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Grafton, Coffs Harbour, Port Macquarie, Wollongong, Nowra, Batemans Bay, Orange, Canberra and Goulburn.
Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in the Riverina and Lower Western districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
14.2mm of rainfall recorded at Goonumbla in the 15 minutes to 3:35pm.
42mm of rainfall recorded at Tumbarumba in the 1 hour to 4:15pm.
48kt (89 km/h) gust at Armidale at 5:54pm.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
* Trees that have been damaged by fire are likely to be more unstable and more likely to fall.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* Don't walk, ride your bike or drive through flood water.
* If you are trapped by flash flooding, seek refuge in the highest available place and ring 000 if you need rescue.
* Be aware that run-off from rainfall in fire affected areas may behave differently and be more rapid. It may also contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks.
* After bushfires, heavy rain and the loss of foliage can make the ground soft and heavy, leading to a greater chance of landslides.
* Unplug computers and appliances.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
* Stay vigilant and monitor conditions. Note that the landscape may have changed following bushfires.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 4:30 am.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
CanberraNow12.5°cFeels Like:10.9°Wind:E 11km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:96%11°Min15°MaxToday in CanberraCloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Heavy falls possible. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon.Tomorrow9°Min21°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h tending SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.
7 Day Forecast
Canberra 7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Heavy falls possible. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon.
Forecast for Canberra (35.282°S, 149.1286°E, 561m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 11° 9° 7° 9° 10° 12° 9° Maximum 15° 21° 23° 26° 28° 22° 20° Chance of rain 80% 30% 10% 5% 80% 80% 40% Likely amount 20-40mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
Wind direction SE SSE SSW S SSE NE SW NNE NNW WNW ENE NW SE NNW Relative humidity 87% 72% 70% 50% 69% 44% 78% 37% 70% 39% 75% 51% 67% 43% Dew point 11°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 12°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 10°C 8°C 6°C
Sun & Moon Times
Sunrise / Sunset for Canberra (35.282°S, 149.1286°E, 561m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase Full moon Last quarter New moon First quarter 5:34am EDT 6:01am EDT 7:33pm EDT 8:00pm EDT 7:09pm EDT 5:57am EDT Waxing gibbous Full moon Nov 01 Last quarter Nov 09 New moon Nov 15 First quarter Nov 22
Next 48 Hours
Canberra Rain Forecast
Canberra 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT31
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Oct30
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 4 November to 8 November, 27 November to 1 December, and 2 December to 6 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 November to 10 November, 13 November to 17 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 November to 12 November, 17 November to 21 November, and 28 November to 2 December.Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
Canberra minimum temp history (35.282°S, 149.1286°E, 561m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.4° 23/10/2020 Coldest this month 1.2° 02/10/2020 Hottest on record 32.7 13/10/1946 Coldest on record -3.4 18/10/2013 Hottest this year 44.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.9° 05/06/2020 Long term average 19.5° Long term average 6.0° Average this month 20.2° Average this month 8.7° Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.2° 2006 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 3.4° 2012 Canberra rainfall history (35.282°S, 149.1286°E, 561m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 20.4mm 06/10/2020 Total This Month 130.2mm
Long Term Average 61.4mm 10.2 days Wettest October on record 161.0mm 1976 Driest on record 2.4mm 1977